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                  [1]鄭崇偉,裴順強,李偉.“21世紀海上絲綢之路”:未來40年波浪能長期預估[J].哈爾濱工程大學學報,2020,41(7):958-965.[doi:10.11990/jheu.201902019]
                   ZHENG Chongwei,PEI Shunqiang,LI Wei.Projection of wave energy resource for the next 40 years in the 21st-century Maritime Silk Road[J].hebgcdxxb,2020,41(7):958-965.[doi:10.11990/jheu.201902019]
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                  “21世紀海上絲綢之路”:未來40年波浪能長期預估(/HTML)
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                  《哈爾濱工程大學學報》[ISSN:1006-6977/CN:61-1281/TN]

                  卷:
                  41
                  期數:
                  2020年7期
                  頁碼:
                  958-965
                  欄目:
                  出版日期:
                  2020-07-05

                  文章信息/Info

                  Title:
                  Projection of wave energy resource for the next 40 years in the 21st-century Maritime Silk Road
                  作者:
                  鄭崇偉123 裴順強4 李偉1
                  1. 海軍大連艦艇學院 航海系, 遼寧 大連 116018;
                  2. 中國科學院大氣物理研究所 LASG國家重點實驗室, 北京 100029;
                  3. 中國海洋大學 山東省海洋工程重點實驗室, 山東 青島 266100;
                  4. 中國氣象局辦公室, 北京 100081
                  Author(s):
                  ZHENG Chongwei123 PEI Shunqiang4 LI Wei1
                  1. Department of Navigation, Dalian Naval Academy, Dalian 116018, China;
                  2. National Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics(LASG), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China;
                  3. Shandong Provincial Key Laboratory of Ocean Engineering, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266100, China;
                  4. Headquarters Office of China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China
                  關鍵詞:
                  海上絲綢之路波浪能長期預估WW3海浪模式CMIP5風場能流密度可利用率富集程度
                  分類號:
                  P743.2
                  DOI:
                  10.11990/jheu.201902019
                  文獻標志碼:
                  A
                  摘要:
                  針對波浪能長期規劃的難題,本文建立了一套波浪能預估模型,并以“海上絲路”作為實例,以CMIP5風場驅動WW3海浪模式,對“海上絲路”2020—2059年的波浪能展開預估,覆蓋能流密度、可利用率AG复古花园、富集程度、穩定性、資源月際差異等一系列關鍵指標。結果表明“海上絲路”未來40 a的波浪能整體趨于樂觀:1)未來40 a平均狀態下,“海上絲路”的能流密度為12~20 kW/m;南海和孟加拉灣未來的WPD高于歷史狀態,阿拉伯海則相反。2)該海域未來40 a平均的資源可用率、富集程度均比歷史狀態樂觀AG复古花园。3)“海上絲路”未來40 a平均的資源穩定性好于歷史狀態(阿拉伯海未來2月和8月除外)AG复古花园,其中孟加拉灣的穩定性好于南海和阿拉伯海。4)阿拉伯海未來40 a平均的月際差異最大,南海次之AG复古花园,孟加拉灣最小。阿拉伯海和南海未來的月際差異小于歷史狀態,孟加拉灣的月際差異與歷史狀態接近AG复古花园。

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                  備注/Memo

                  備注/Memo:
                  收稿日期:2019-02-21。
                  基金項目:國際(地區)合作與交流項目(41520104008)AG复古花园;河口海岸學國家重點實驗室開放基金項目(SKLEC-KF201707).
                  作者簡介:鄭崇偉,男,講師,博士;裴順強,男,高級工程師.
                  通訊作者:鄭崇偉,E-mail:chinaoceanzcw@sina.cn.
                  更新日期/Last Update: 2020-08-15
                  AG复古花园

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